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Believe it or not, the NPC
starts this Thursday night! It has really snuck up on us this year, partly
because of a lack of public interest (and therefore media coverage), and partly
because one of the most anticipated international seasons in recent times has
gotten underway. So here’s a quick look at the teams and what to expect from
this year’s edition.
NORTHLAND
Have already taken
one step in the right direction by renaming their home ground Okara Park. A lot
of history and tradition in this name, so good on the administrators. In terms
of personnel, the Taniwha have been reasonably hard hit with some key players
leaving. They include Jake Paringatai, Tim Dow, Brad Taylor, Hayden Taylor, Dan
Bowden and Josh Levi. Paringatai especially will be a huge loss, and I for one
feel that he had a lot more to offer NZ rugby. Forced to watch the S14 from the
sideline because the Blues selectors opted for the hugely overrated Nick
Williams; you can’t blame him for leaving.
On a positive
note, however, they have gained the services of a couple of familiar provincial
names in Jared Payne and the returning Blair Urlich. Plus they have a huge
amount of experience in the trio of captain Justin Collins, David Holwell and
Tony Coughlan.
Holwell is
without doubt the key player for Northland, and his performances may well
dictate just how they fare this season.
Keep an eye on
winger Fetu’u Vainikolo. After a good debut season last year, was picked up by
the Highlanders where he performed well in an average team. With Auckland winger
David Smith moving to Wellington after this competition, there is a vacancy in
the Blues squad, and Vainikolo will want to take that opportunity.
Other players of
note include Blues prop Bronson Murray, winger Rene Ranger and Chilean import
Francesco Deformes.
Prediction: won’t
advance
Squad:
Tyler Ashworth, Steve Baker, John Cocker, Justin Collins, Tony Coughlan, Derek
Carpenter, Justin Davies, Mike Davis, Francesco Deformes, Aiden Dewes, Damien
Fakafanua, Dan Goodwin, Roy Griffin, David Holwell, Kaino Kaino, Glenn Martin,
Joel McKenty, Bronson Murray, Jared Payne, Rene Ranger, James Rodley, Francis
Smith, Leo Taliu, Blair Urlich, Fetu’u Vainikolo, Marty Veale, Ross Wright.
NORTH HARBOUR
Will very quickly
want to forget last season. Could only manage draws against Northland and
Counties Manukau, before being hammered by Waikato and losing the Ranfurly
Shield (by a record margin for a holder), and then missing out on the quarter
finals.
Have not been hit
too hard by player losses – Zar Lawrence, Tusi Pisi, Junior Poluleuligaga, Greg
Rawlinson and Nick Williams will not feature this season, but out of that list
only Rawlinson is really a huge loss, and even then there is the promising Chris
Smith to replace him.
Have recruited
well, with Matt France, Chris Smylie, Jimmy Gopperth, Jamie Helleur (on loan)
and Martin Purdy joining the squad. Smylie and Gopperth are quite
enigmatic, which thus far has been to their detriment, whilst Purdy could be
quite an astute acquisition.
Have been hit
harder than expected in terms of All Blacks, with Tuitavake, Boric and Wulf
joining Woodcock in the national setup.
Look for their key
player to be George Pisi. All the talk about Harbour thus far has been about
Gopperth and how will direct the backline, and if he can force his way into the
Blues squad, but look for Pisi to put his hand up and show some leadership too.
He has now been a part of three S14 campaigns so his experience should be
valuable to this young squad.
Player to watch is
Martin Purdy. The lock forward plies his trade in the UK with Bath, the same
team that international locks Danny Grewcock and Steve Borthwick play for. He
would have learnt a lot from these two, and his partnership in the second row
with Chris Smith will be important to Harbour’s chances. Other players of note
include NZ 7s rep Nafi Tuitavake, Fijian flyer Viliame Waqaseduadua and prop
James Afoa – yes, the brother of.
Prediction: will
once again under perform and miss out on the quarters
Squad:
Hayden Abercrombie, Ben Afeaki, James Afoa, Sam Barker, Sam Biddles, Tom
Chamberlain, Robbie Colhoun, Chris Eves, Michael Farmer, Matt France, Jimmy
Gopperth, Luke Hamilton, Michael Harris, Jamie Helleur, James Hincho, James
King, Vili Maafu, Michael Mayhew, Richard Mayhew, Jack McPhee, James Parsons,
George Pisi, Ken Pisi, Martin Purdy, Malakai Ravulo, Michael Reid, Adrian Smith,
Chris Smith, Chris Smylie, Nafi Tuitavake, Jona Tuitoga, Viliame Waqaseduadua,
Ryan Wilson, Josh York.
AUCKLAND
The defending
champions have been absolutely decimated with players heading overseas, to other
provinces or retiring.
From last year’s
championship winning squad, a total of 15 players have gone, and out of them
there are probably 10 or 11 that would have made the starting XV. However,
Auckland has always had an abundance of young talent in the region, and they
will need to step up this season if Auckland is to achieve the same success.
Rather than
looking outside the province (only former Southland winger Watisoni Lotawa has
been recruited), Auckland will look to develop their young talent and rely on
the handful of experienced players to guide them through. It will be a tough
ask, but Auckland are not the most successful province in New Zealand by fluke.
Another factor
going against them is that coach Pat Lam has secured the position of Blues head
coach and will therefore vacate his Auckland post at the end of August.
Expect Keven
Mealamu, Jerome Kaino and John Afoa to be unavailable most of the season due to
All Blacks commitments.
Their key player
will be Lachie Munro. Munro has been in the Auckland set up for a few years now
and looks to have the goods. Was harshly treated by the Blues selectors earlier
in the year when they opted to play Isaia Toeava out of position to cover for
the injured Isa Nacewa and Nick Evans, but with Pat Lam now at the helm, Munro
will be looking to prove that he is the best 1st 5 8ths in the region,
especially with Gopperth transferring to Harbour.
Watch out for
Isaia Toeava. After the national selectors waxed lyrical about him, only for him
to show that he wasn’t then up to it, he will be eager to prove that he has
learned from those experiences and will want a strong campaign to boost his
chances of a recall for the end of year tour. Other key players will be backs
Ben Atiga and Benson Stanley, and openside flanker Daniel Braid.
Prediction: even
with a huge player exodus and Pat Lam leaving, they will win back to back titles
Squad:
Ben Atiga, Daniel Braid, Dean Budd, Anthony Elisala, Paea Fa’anunu, Charlie
Faumuina, Jarek Goebel, Kurtis Haiu, Grayson Hart, Stanley Haukinima, Watisoni
Lotawa, Chris Lowrey, Chris Mahony, Tevita Mailau, Pauliasi Manu, Tom McCartney,
Taniela Moa, Lachie Munro, Mikaele Pesamino, Peter Saili, David Smith, Benson
Stanley, Winston Stanley, Isaia Toeava, Nick White, Jay Williams (plus the
injured Chris Heard, Onosa’i Tololima-Auva’a, Brenton Helleur and Joe Rokocoko
to be added).
COUNTIES
MANUKAU
There’s only one
direction Counties Manukau can head – up – after finishing at the bottom of the
table last season. Changes were needed, and it looks like some have occurred.
Kevin Putt has
been replaced as head coach by Matt Aldous (who has won Auckland club rugby’s
Gallaher Shield coaching Waitemata), less than half of last year’s squad
remains, and importantly for the union’s fans, their home games will be played
in Pukekohe, not Mt Smart Stadium.
Kristian Ormsby
has moved overseas and will be a massive loss; now is the time for lock Andrew
van der Heijden to step up and fulfil his potential. They have managed to
acquire the services of a few players who should add value to the team in Tasesa
Lavea, DJ Forbes, Jayden Murch and Romi Ropati, back from Japan.
By all accounts,
they have a couple of very exciting new backs in David Raikuna and Tim Nanai-Williams,
carrying on the tradition of the likes of Robertson, Lomu, Vidiri, Laulala and
Sivivatu.
The key player to
Counties Manukau’s ambitions will be winger Lelia Masaga. Many thought he was
unlucky not to have cracked the All Blacks squad after a stellar Super 14, and
he will be out to demand to Henry & co that he deserves a spot on the end of
year tour.
Keep an eye on
David Raikuna. Fellow winger Masaga speaks very highly of him, and while a lot
of the opposition’s focus might be on Masaga, Raikuna could cause a lot of havoc
on the other side. Other key players are experienced centre Niva Ta’auso, former
Manu Samoan international Tanner Vili, and prop Simon Lemalu.
Prediction: won’t
finish last, but will miss out on the quarters nonetheless
Squad:
Eugene Beneke, Jamie Chipman, Dean Cummins, Dave Duley, Kevin Farrell, Viliami
Fihaki, Samisoni Fisilau, DJ Forbes, Hani Halaelia, Tasesa Lavea, Fritz Lee,
Simon Lemalu, Ilaisa Ma’asi, Lelia Masaga, Jayden Murch, Tim Nanai-Williams,
Siale Piutau, Lance Po-Ching, David Raikuna, Romi Ropati, Gary Saifoloi, Sherwin
Stowers, Niva Ta’auso, Chad Tuoro, Andrew van der Heijden, Tanner Vili (two to
be added).
WAIKATO
Hugely
disappointing season last year. After heading into the competition as the
defending champions, they started off on the right note, including a record 52-7
demolition of North Harbour to win the Ranfurly Shield. However, it was all
downhill from there – they lost the Shield 7 days later (equalling the record
for the shortest tenure), finished 5th on the table and were knocked out by
Hawke’s Bay in the quarters.
For various
reasons, they will be missing a number of key players from last season’s squad,
including Kahui, Donald, Bates, Holah, Gibbes, Leonard, Kinikinilau and Willis.
However, these losses will be somewhat offset through acquiring Callum Bruce,
Tom Harding, Faifili Levave and Kevin O’Neill – all players with S14 experience.
It’s hard to tell
just how Waikato will fare this time around. On the one hand, all the young
players they have blooded in the last couple of seasons are now more experienced
and battle-hardened, but on the other hand, they have lost all their star
players.
A star in the
making, though, and they key player to the Mooloo men’s chances this season is
Liam Messam. Even when Messam was playing for Rotorua Boys High School’s first
XV, there was very little doubt that he would one day be an All Black, and that
time will be sooner rather than later. A strong showing in this championship
will force the selectors to include Messam in their next squad.
Watch out for the
midfield combination of Roimata Hansell-Pune and Jackson Willison. They will
have learned from their misfortunes last season and form one of the most
potentially exciting midfields in the country. Both are very young men and can
only get better.
Other key players
are outside back Sosene Anesi (a one test wonder), NZ 7s rep James Kamana and
versatile front rower Aled de Malmanche.
Prediction:
knocked out in the quarters
Squad:
Sosene Anesi, Malcolm Barnes, David Bason, Matt Blain, Callum Bruce, Sam
Christie, Aled de Malmanche, Kent Fife, Hikairo Forbes, Romana Graham, Roimata
Hansell-Pune, Tom Harding, Josh Hohneck, James Kamana, Vern Kamo, Faifili Levave,
Toby Lynn, Liam Messam, Tim Mikkelson, Josh Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Trent Renata,
Armyn Sanders, Jordan Smiler, Henry Speight, Dwayne Sweeney, Watene Waenga,
Craig West, Nathan White, Jackson Willison.
BAY OF PLENTY
Already things are
looking very bleak for the Bay.
After finishing
second from the bottom last year, they have lost a huge wealth of experience
with Ben Castle, Simms Davison, Warren Smith, Rena Schuster, Anthony Tahana and
Murray Williams all heading offshore.
Add to that the
fact that they are even struggling to field a team (financially speaking) thanks
to a near million dollar loss announced at the start of the year, and there is
the added pressure because a few teams are likely to be axed from next year’s
competition. Not looking at all good for the Steamers; it was only four years
ago they held the Ranfurly Shield and made the NPC semi finals!
They have managed
to secure the services of NZ 7s reps Zar Lawrence and Nigel Hunt, plus a couple
of props, but they will hardly offset the players lost. There could be a
surprise in store with veteran Clayton MacMillan set to make an appearance here
& there after a return to club rugby not too long ago.
The key player
will be exciting openside flanker Tanerau Latimer. Latimer has performed
strongly for every team he has played for – whether it be the Steamers,
Crusaders, Chiefs, national 7s team or the Maori. Like fellow Maori team mate
Messam, Latimer is an All Black in waiting, and maybe now is his time.
Their player to
watch is Colin Bourke. Bourke burst onto the scene in that famous 2004 season,
but sadly for the Steamers, he remains the only player left from that team that
won the Shield off Auckland. Big things were expected of him, but he has so far
failed to deliver. His combination in the loose forwards with Latimer and
Solomon King promises a lot.
Other players to
watch for include captain Jamie Nutbrown, first five Mike Delany and midfielder
Cory Aporo.
Prediction: will
miss out on the quarters, and wouldn’t be surprised to see them finish last
Squad:
Cory Aporo, Toby Arnold, Paula Asaeli, Colin Bourke, Luke Braid, Marcel
Cummings-Toone, Arden David, Mike Delany, Kelly Haimona, Josh Hall, Jason Hona,
Nigel Hunt, Solomon King, Aidan Kuka, Josh Katene-Roberts, Tanerau Latimer, Zar
Lawrence, Lance MacDonald, James McGougan, John Moore, Teu Nafe, Jamie Nutbrown,
John Pareanga, Cullum Retallick, Joe Savage, Matt Wallis.
HAWKE’S BAY
The ‘Cinderella’
story from last year’s competition. Nobody expected Hawke’s Bay to make the semi
finals, but that’s exactly what coach of the year Peter Russell managed to do
with his team. This time around, everyone will be wary of them, but they
should still be there or thereabouts come then end of the season.
Importantly, the
Magpies have managed to hang onto most of last season’s squad, with Ben Batger
and Grant Webb probably the only two that have left that might have commanded a
starting spot. However, in Israel Dagg and George Naoupu, they have a couple of
ready made replacements.
One big blow
however is the loss of prop Clint Newland for the season through injury. He was
an integral part of last season’s pack which dominated some much more fancied
packs at scrum time, but capped Argentinean prop Bruno Cuezzo should be an able
replacement.
Twenty two year
old Sharks lock Johan Snyman will prove to be a good acquisition too, much in
the same way Martin Purdy will be for Harbour. Snyman would have learned a lot
from Sharks team mates Johann Muller and Johan Ackermann, both of whom have
played for the Springboks in the last year.
The key for the
Magpies will be the halfback/first five combination of Danny Lee and Matt
Berquist. They proved to be very effective last year and will be even better
together now with that experience. Lee played well enough to force his way into
the Blues Super 14 squad, and even be the first choice at the start of the
season.
The player to
watch has to be young winger Zac Guildford. He is still only 19 years old but
already has a season of Super 14 behind him, and was part of the U20 team that
recently became world champions. Much is expected already of Guildford, and so
far in his short career it is easy to see why.
Other important
players for the Magpies will be hooker Hika Elliot (who is now on the brink of
All Blacks selection), veteran flanker Michael Johnson and centre Jason Shoemark.
Prediction: will
prove that they were not one season wonders and will make the semis again
Squad:
Matt Berquist, Adam Bradley, Bruno Cuezzo, Israel Dagg, Ash Dixon, Chris Eaton,
Matt Egan, Hika Elliot, Bryn Evans, Rob Evans, Sam Giddens, Zac Guildford, Mark
Jackman, Michael Johnson, Josh Keys, Jason Kupa, Danny Lee, Karl Lowe, Jamie
Muir, George Naoupu, Pama Petia, Hugh Reed, Jason Shoemark, Tom Simpson, Johan
Snyman, Sona Taumalolo, Dan Waenga.
TARANAKI
For a long time,
Taranaki have been an enigma in NZ rugby. They have held the Ranfurly Shield on
numerous occasions, won the 2nd division in the old NPC many times, have beaten
most of the big teams during the professional era, and have even made the semis
of the division one competition a couple of times. They always seem to be
nipping at the heels of the competition, but more often than not, that’s where
it stops.
On the surface, it
doesn’t look like this season will be much different. They have assembled a
decent, solid group of players, and have some S14 experienced players to work
around, but unfortunately have lost a few key players.
Matt France has
transferred to Harbour, Matt Harvey, Tomasi Soqeta and Michael Tagicakibau have
moved offshore, and Jarrad Hoeata and Scott Ireland are unavailable through
injury (although Ireland may rejoin the squad later in the season).
They have secured
the services of the Tuifua brothers, Isaia and Taiasina, from Counties Manukau
and Alex Tulou from Wellington, and in addition have made a couple of very
important buys in first five Willie Ripia and centre Jonathan Spratt. Spratt
plays for the Ospreys club in Wales, a club that boasts world class
international players such as Mike Phillips, James Hook, Shane Williams, and our
own Justin Marshall. Surely Spratt has gained valuable insight and experience
around these players, and hopefully he can bring some of what he has acquired to
Taranaki.
Willie Ripia
transferred down from Waikato, and during the S14 he established himself as the
number one first five in the Hurricanes region. This position has been a problem
for Taranaki since Brock James left 4 years ago. How Ripia performs will be
crucial to their chances, along with key player Scott Waldrom. Waldrom now has a
wealth of experience at this level, and with the departure of Chris Masoe, he
will be looking to firmly establish himself as the number one openside in the
region.
Keep an eye out
for Shayne Austin. He has scored 40 tries in 54 games for Taranaki, an
incredible strike rate, so will no doubt add to this tally. Other key players
are locks Jason Eaton and Craig Clarke, and captain Tony Penn.
Prediction: will
once again scrape into the quarters, but will be knocked out there
Squad:
James Annabell, Shayne Austin, Jack Cameron, Carl Carmichael, Craig Clarke,
Shane Cleaver, Laurence Corlett, Jason Eaton, Brett Goodin, Brendon Haami,
Jayden Hayward, Nathan Hohaia, Asalemo Maio, Hamish Mitchell, Corey Niwa, Tony
Penn, Paul Perez, Leon Power, Willie Ripia, Nemia Soqeta, Jonathan Spratt, Isaia
Tuifua, Taiasina Tuifua, Alex Tulou, Scott Waldrom, Chris Walker.
MANAWATU
When Manawatu were
given the green light to compete at this level ahead of North Otago, who had
performed considerably better than them in the last season of division two, a
few eyebrows were raised and questions asked. Many failed to see the merit in
that decision. However, in the last couple of seasons, the Turbos have
improved a great deal and have gone some way to vindicating the decision of the
NZRFU.
After managing
just a draw in 2006, they managed two victories and a draw last year. Crowd
numbers are increasing, and two players even managed to secure S14 contracts
this year.
They have been hit
very hard with injuries, with many of their forwards suffering from various
ailments, most notably their number 8 Bertus Mulder. Six players have been
brought in from outside the province, most notably NZ 7s rep Lote Raikabula, and
Manawatu will be hoping that these players may at least provide competition for
positions.
The key player for
Manawatu will be lock Hayden Triggs. Triggs has been involved in two S14
campaigns now, and has even been touted by some as Manawatu’s next All Black.
There is no doubt that he has performed very well over the last couple of
seasons, and if he can carry on his good form, then Manawatu may carry on their
recent improvements.
Their player to
watch will be winger Tomasi Cama. Cama has been involved with the national 7s
team for awhile now, and is their most recent player of the year. If he can
produce some of his 7s magic for the Turbos then there will be some spectacular
tries scored!
Other key players
are midfielder Johnny Leota, captain and talented openside flanker Josh Bradnock,
and fullback Francisco Bosch (who will form an exciting back three with Cama and
Raikabula).
Prediction: will
continue their improvement, but not quite enough to make the knockout phase
Squad:
Kurt Baker, Francisco Bosch, Josh Bradnock, Frankie Bryant, Tomasi Cama,
Mitchell Crosswell, Nick Crosswell, Rob Foreman, Aaron Good, James Goode, Hamish
Gosling, Talau Hala, Aaron James, Matty James, Toese Lealamanua, Johnny Leota,
Sean O’Connor, Grant Polson, Lote Raikabula, Paul Rodgers, Adam Ross, Aaron
Smith, Andre Taylor, Doug Tietjens, David Te Moana, Hayden Triggs, Joggie
Viljoen.
WELLINGTON
The nearly men of
NZ rugby in recent years. They have made the final four times in the last five
seasons, and have lost on each occasion. This statistic will not be lost on the
players, and they will be looking to go that one step further.
Most of their
frontline players from last season are back, but notable losses include Tana
Umaga, Shannon Paku, Jimmy Gopperth and Tone Kopelani.
Perhaps the
biggest talking point in the squad is Victor Vito. He caught the rugby public’s
attention with some storming performances in the IRB Sevens World Series, and
was in fact compared to a young Jonah Lomu. He has represented NZ through the
age grades, and was the IRB U19 player of the year in 2006. This year, he
decided to focus on the 15 a side game, therefore giving up 7s. He is a very
exciting prospect, but may get limited game time with more established players
in front of him.
The key to
Wellington’s chances will be young first five Dan Kirkpatrick. With Gopperth’s
move up north, Kirkpatrick has suddenly become the first choice pivot. There is
no doubting his immense talent and potential – he won the man of the match at
the recently completed IRB Junior World Championship – and if he is not overawed
by the pressure and the size of the task at hand,
Wellington will go
a long way to justifying the pre-tournament favouritism at the TAB. Their player
to watch will be flanker Serge Lilo. He was cruelly dealt an injury blow at the
tail end of last season’s competition, meaning he missed not only the business
end of it, but also the entire S14. With Jerry Collins gone and Rodney So’ialo
on national duty, there is a massive opportunity for Lilo to establish himself
as a key loose forward for Wellington.
Other players of
note are versatile back Tamati Ellison, AB reject Chris Masoe, and captain Piri
Weepu (national duty pending).
Prediction: will
remain NZ’s nearly team by not progressing past the semis
Squad:
Dane Coles, Jacob Ellison, Tamati Ellison, Tim Fairbrother, Ross Filipo, Hosea
Gear, Michael Hobbs, Cory Jane, Daniel Kirkpatrick, Serge Lilo, Chris Masoe,
Alby Mathewson, Api Naikatini, Ma’a Nonu, Tomasi Palu, Anthony Perenise, Ged
Robinson, John Schwalger, Conrad Smith, Rodney So’oialo, Jeremy Thrush, Neemia
Tialata, Tane Tu’ipulotu, Bernie Upton, Victor Vito, Thomas Waldrom, Piri Weepu.
TASMAN
By all accounts,
the two unions that form Tasman – Nelson Bays and Marlborough – will go their
separate ways at the end of the season, largely due to an estimated $4 million
debt. New coach Todd Blackadder has stated that all the off field dramas
have not affected preparations, but how can the players not be affected, knowing
that their team will probably be defunct at the season’s end? Rather than
focusing on this, if the players realise that there are S14 contracts to play
for, plus the chance other unions may pick them up, then at least their heads
may be in the right space in terms of focused on rugby.
Chris Jack and
Caleb Ralph have both gone offshore, along with a few others, but the overall
balance of the squad shouldn’t be affected.
Veteran lock Steve
Jackson is once again available, and first five Miah Nikora has signed from
Wellington.
The key player to
Tasman’s chances will be halfback Kahn Fotuali’i. He has already established
himself as a crucial member of the team, and his performances earned him S14
selection for the champion Crusaders squad. He will look to expose defences
around the ruck with his great speed, and if he can get Tasman on a roll, they
will cause opposition defences some headaches.
Watch out for
winger Kade Poki. Poki is only 20 years old, and was part of the team that won
the Junior World Championship. His previous season was curtailed by injury, but
the Crusaders didn’t offer him a S14 contract for nothing.
Other key players
promise to be prop Ben Franks (who is on the brink of All Blacks selection), 7s
star Afeleke Pelenise, and exciting fullback Robbie Malneek.
Prediction: will
scare a few teams, but won’t be enough to reach the quarters
Squad:
Alex Ainley, Shaun Begg, Mark Bright, Shane Christie, Hamish Cochrane, Blair
Cook, Will Crutchley, James Foote, Kahn Fotuali’i, Ben Franks, Andrew Goodman,
Glen Gregory, Joel Iggo, Steve Jackson, Jack Lam, Karl Leary, Quentin MacDonald,
Robbie Malneek, James Marshall, Ben May, Craig Moore, Miah Nikora, Rowan
O’Gorman, Mike Pehi, Afeleke Pelenise, Dan Perrin, Siaki Peti, Jonathan Poff,
Kade Poki, Stephen Sasagi, Sakaria Taulafo, Lualua Vailoaloa, Joe Wheeler.
CANTERBURY
The dominant
region in Super rugby, but at this level they haven’t won a title since 2004,
which they will be looking to rectify this time round. People go on about
the systems and the culture in terms of rugby down there, and while one cannot
really argue with that, Canterbury has performed well below expectations since
the advent of the Air New Zealand Cup.
Some key players
from last year’s squad have gone – the likes of Rico Gear, Johnny Leo’o, Kevin
Senio, Kevin O’Neill and Steven Yates, whilst Casey Laulala injured himself
pre-season and is unavailable. Like most of the other big provinces,
Canterbury has the luxury of good young talent, and will fill the voids with
these players leave.
There is a lot of
talk about Stephen Brett, and he really needs to fire. He has an enormous amount
of talent, but for all the talk about him being an All Black (which he will be
one day), he seems to disappear at the crunch end of tournaments. After setting
the competition alight last year, he was nowhere to be seen in the Ranfurly
Shield loss to Auckland and the semi final against Wellington, and in this
year’s S14 he sat on the bench while the 10-12 combination of Carter & Bateman
started. So to me, Tim Bateman will be Canterbury’s key player. He was unlucky
with injury last year, and when he was given a chance to start in the S14 this
year, he made the position his own. He will also take some pressure off Brett,
and this combination could be very dangerous. Don’t be surprised to see Bateman
on the end of year tour.
Their player to
watch will be Paul Williams. Williams is another on the brink of higher honours,
and was part of the unofficial training squad before the announcement of the
first ABs squad. A strong campaign will not only secure his ticket on the tour,
but will also be important to Canterbury’s hopes.
Other players to
watch will be openside flanker George Whitelock, outside back Sean Maitland, and
captain and AB prospect Kieran Read.
Prediction: will
lose to Auckland in the final
Squad:
Steve Alfeld, Tim Bateman, Peter Borlase, Stephen Brett, James Broadhurst, Phil
Burleigh, Wyatt Crockett, Ryan Crotty, Owen Franks, Steve Fualau, Hamish Gard,
Scott Hamilton, Hayden Hopgood, Campbell Johnstone, Tyson Keats, Sean Maitland,
Nasi Manu, Mike Paterson, James Patterson, Ti’i Paulo, Kieran Read, Isaac Ross,
Colin Slade, Mose Tuiali’i, Adam Whitelock, George Whitelock, Paul Williams.
OTAGO
Otago are probably
the underachievers of NZ rugby.
They have produced
a number of great players, but as a team they have probably not achieved the
level of success expected. They last won the title in 1998, and were hammered by
Auckland in the 2005 final. Last year they just squeezed into the quarters,
where they were absolutely annihilated by Canterbury, and it’s not looking much
more promising this season.
They
have lost a lot of key players. They have managed to acquire Dan Bowden, Lucky
Mulipola, Steven Setephano and Eben Joubert, but have lost Callum Bruce, Charlie
Hore, Chris King, Matt Saunders, Ben W Smith, Chris Smylie, Silao Vaisola and
George Whitelock, plus unavailable through injury are Matt O’Connell, Alando
Soakai, Ezra Taylor and Greg Zampach. Not looking bright at all!
The key to Otago’s
chances is without a doubt their influential captain Craig Newby. Newby covers
all three loose forward positions – which will be even more important this
season with the injuries to Taylor and Soakai – and will bring his usual
tenacity and fortitude to this campaign before he heads off overseas.
Their player to
watch will be midfielder Aaron Bancroft. He arrived from Canterbury a couple of
years back with huge expectations on him, and to an extent he delivered –
unfortunately the team couldn’t quite click! He didn’t have a happy S14, and
will be looking to improve on his performances from earlier this year.
Other key players
will be lock Tom Donnelly, halfback Toby Morland and utility back Ben R Smith.
Prediction: will
not be at all surprised if they miss out on the quarters, but will do just
enough to squeeze in there
Squad:
Jeremy Aldworth, Aaron Bancroft, Dan Bowden, Keith Cameron, Tom Donnelly, Paul
Grant, Karne Hesketh, Sam Hibbard, Glen Horton, Eben Joubert, Ross Kennedy, Uili
Kolo’ofai, Jason MacDonald, Hoani Matenga, Brett Mather, Peter Mirrielees, Toby
Morland, Lucky Mulipola, Craig Newby, Chris Noakes, Ben Nolan, Andrew Parata,
Seko Qaraniqio, Sean Romans, Steven Setephano, Ben R Smith, Dan Snee, Alando
Soakai, Casey Stone, Jed Vercoe.
SOUTHLAND
Apart from Hawke’s
Bay, Southland was probably the most improved team during last year’s
competition. They finished 6th on the table, including a victory over fierce
rivals Otago, before being halted by a rampant Wellington in the quarters.
However, their performances from last year should instil the side with belief
and confidence, and they will be looking forward to their opening round clash
against Otago eagerly.
They have lost a
couple of good front rowers in Clarke Dermody and Jayden Murch, but the arrival
of Chris King should offset this. Likewise the arrival of wingers Tony
Koonwaiyou and Matt Saunders to replace Watisoni Lotawa and Mana Harrison.
Southland’s key
player is set to be Hoani MacDonald. The experienced lock (who can cover
blindside flanker too) has been talked up by some as All Black material, and
with the circus that has recently gone on around the locks for the All Blacks,
MacDonald will want a strong campaign to thrust himself into contention.
Watch out for
halfback Scott Cowan. Scott is Jimmy’s brother, and with Jimmy away on All
Blacks duty, Scott is likely to step up. He will be keen to show everyone that
Jimmy is not the only one in the family who can play a decent game of rugby.
Also keep an eye out for prop Jamie Mackintosh, openside flanker Tim Boys (who
possesses arguably the greatest mullet in the game) and midfielder Jason Kawau.
Prediction: will
be the dark horses. Will definitely make the quarters, and maybe even the semis
Squad:
Dion Bates, Josh Bekhuis, Tim Boys, Jimmy Cowan, Scott Cowan, Dayna Cunningham,
Tony Dodunski, David Hall, John Hardie, Matt Holloway, Jason Kawau, Chris King,
Tony Koonwaiyou, Kendrick Lynn, Hoani MacDonald, Jamie Mackintosh, Fai Mika,
Alesana Muliaina, Michael Peterson, Daniel Ramsay, Willie Rickards, Robbie
Robinson, Jason Rutledge, Matt Saunders, Dane Shelford, Iona Sipa, Noa Soqeta,
Blair Stewart, Hua Tamariki, Pehi Te Whare, Faaitu Tuamoheloa, Scott Vessey,
Mark Wells, James Wilson.
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