|
Wokka wokka wokka (as Fozzie Beer used to say),
Super 14 round 3 here we go!! Round two was a vast improvement on the first
round, and as the players get up to full speed, expect the lesser teams (for
lesser, read any team other than the Blues and Crusaders) to start playing some
good football - especially now that they have realised the game has not changed
too much, despite the ELVs.
Horrorcanes v Chiefs.
Both teams playing really ugly rugby, not much
form to speak, and with a win and a loss thus far. Home advantage to the Canes,
and you would think that they will get up for the win - on paper at least they
are a far better team than the Chiefs, and with no form on the field to speak of
for either side, than that is all we have to go on!
An All Black laden forward pack, and a
mercurial backline clashes with a Chiefs eight packed with journeymen and a
backline that has had its claws drawn with the loss of Richard Kahui and Brendon
Leonard.
A full strength Chiefs side might challenge the
capital city side, but not the cobbled together side that is going to face the
task this Friday. The worlds laziest Super star wing Sitiveni Sivivatu has been
shunted to fullback, arguably the worlds best fullback has been shunted into
centre, and David Bason gets thrown into the deep end at halfback, coming up
against an almost All Black tight five, and an All Black test level loose trio.
For the Chiefs to win those three players will
probably have to have their best games in these respective positions ever.
That, along with the Chiefs forwards not taking a backward step, and getting
stuck into the near All Black pack, no holds barred. Bet they wish that a
certain Keith Robinson was not just on the coaching staff for this game, his
hard nosed, no fear approach is just what is needed.
The Hurricanes need to stop reading their
press, roll up their sleeves and get back to basics to win this game. All this
week at training they should have been watching Blues and Crusaders videos, and
learning that ELVs or not, you still need to do the basics right in rugby. Get
dominance up front, and have 14 men working like bastards to give the 15th man a
half a yard start on the way to the try line. Nothing has really changed in the
last 100 years really - dominance in the forward exchanges equals wins.
Neemia Tialata will need a big game at
tighthead, if he wants to catch up on Somerville and Afoa, who are currently
leading the race for the vacated All Black three jersey, as will Jerry Collins,
who has also been very quiet compared to his usual high standards. On form, he
would also be well behind the eight ball with Jerome Kaino leading the way, and
even Kieran Reid of the Crusaders probably in better form. Also needing to
continue to impress is Andrew Hore, Corey Flynn is breathing down his neck in
the race to be Mealamu's back up.
In the blouse department, Piri Weepu needs a
massive game. At the moment it is hard to remember him ever being an All Black,
let alone a pretty decent one. If he wants to wear the silver fern again
(which is conjecture anyway), he needs to fins some form and quick! Jimmy
Gopperth needs to find the form that he first bought to Super rugby however many
years ago too (four, three, maybe five)?? He's adequate, but that's about
it, and you don't win Super titles by having adequate men in charge. You
win them having Andrew Mehrtens and Dan Carter and the ilk.
Players to watch: Lets call this one All
Black watch - Piri Weepu, Neemia Tialta, and Jerry Collins - all underperforming
and in need of big games.
A win then for the Hurricanes, and comfortably
so, 13+
Lions v Western Force
Lions worse than pathetic last week, the Force
winning despite themselves. That'll probably continue, I hope so, as that
is what I have tipped anyway...
Players to watch: None, as I won't be
watching...
Froce by 12 or less...
Stormers v Crusaders
The Burger-less Stormers versus the on fire
Crusaders. I expect nothing less than a 13+ win again for the men from the
south. The Biltong Biting Boers have no idea about these new ELVs, and in
fact, even without them would still be struggling. Their main problem is
not getting the hang of the new laws, but they are just not fit enough to play
Super level football, hell, some of their players look not fit enough to jog a
lap of the field. Still hung-over from that RWC thing I expect...
Anyway, we won't go there!!
The Crusaders have made three changes, rolling
the props over, and veteran Caleb Ralph into the starting lineup in place of
Scott Hamilton, who has flown home for 'personal reasons'. Probably
because he had a ratshit game and was depressed... But that is unfair, no
doubt a real reason, and it has nothing to do with his performance last week,
whcih must rank as the single worst Super game he has ever had.
Props Somerville and Franks are gone, with
Campbell Johnstone and Wyatt Crockett coming into the starting jerseys,
Somerville taking the bench spot. If it is one place that the Crusaders
have a vast advantage, it is in props. No other team in New Zealand at
least has 4 props that you would not mind starting in any combination come game
time. Sure Johnstone is not the most mobile prop in the business, but he
can scrum, and that under the ELVs is where it is at. Take the Blues,
remove Woodcock and Afoa, and you would be starting with Bronson Murray and Nick
White, hardly a duo to strike fear into the hearts of any opposing eight!
So certainly strength in depth their for the Crusaders.
Otherwise an unchanged lineup, Deans going for
the continuity thing with players getting chances to build combinations (memo to
the Cartel, time to build combinations), and get some form on the board (memo to
Cartel, form from playing). This has been working too - Carter has
looked better from week one to two, as did McCaw, and pretty much all the
players in red 'n' black.
The Stormers, well, they are sitting on the
bottom of the table, and deservedly so by all accounts. So being crap, and
losing Burger for being a grade 'A' Jessie Ryder (I AM bigger than the game), it
should be normal transmission resumed for the men from the republic, another
loss.
Players to watch: Carter again, and
Campbell Johnstone - has the prop with the mobility of a Tiger Tank in the mud,
got up and running for the new ELVs, or been left behind...?
Crusaders to win 13+
Highlanders v Waratahs
The Clan with home ground advantage at last.
Two close losses to Aussie teams, and about to fact another bunch of convicts in
the New South Welshmen (the original convicts weren't they)? The Waratahs
have had a win and a loss, and look quite good, but for some reason, I am
thinking that the Highlanders will pull this one out of the hat.
The Highlanders rookies now know what it takes
to play Super rugby, how much faster it is then NPC, how much more intense it is
at the breakdown, how much more concentration you need for even the little
things. So expect big things from them this week. They have named
their 'mega sized' forward pack again, moving Hayden Triggs back to the side of
the scrum and youngster Issac Ross heading back into lock. Otherwise
unchanged up front, and fair enough to, the pack has been going well for a bunch
of rookies!
The backline sees Michael Delany slot in at
first five, a mercurial running first five, but a really, really little bugger.
Expect plenty of Waratahs attacks to centre around there, to make him work his
arse off!! Otherwise remains the same, which is good, as while they have
not been earth shattering like the Blues backs, they have been solid enough to
make defending lines honest in their work. Think their number one priority
should be get the ball to Fetu'u Vainikolo, the Northland winger is greased
lightning.
Players to watch: Greased Lightning and
Delany.
Highlanders to win -12.
Brumbies v Red
This is usually a quite good game, and usually,
the Brumbies win it. But this is not the usual Brumbies team, with the
departure of Larkham, Grogan and Paul, and the injury of Mortlock, it is a
shadow of its former self. Add to that the Reds are playing with a bit of
pride this season (although they started last year the same, before going on to
that nine loss in a row trot), and this game should be quite a close one.
However, I think the Brumbies, at home will do enough to hold on for a win.
Players to watch: The props, how many
early subbing prop (Rodzilla), will then replace the prop that subbed on for
them, who has been 'injured'? Which is allowed in the rules, a subbed prop
coming back on for injury. Just how legit the injury has to be remains to
be seen. Means though, that fat pricks like Rodzilla can carry on being
fat pricks. Hell, even pudding Dunning looks to have trimmed up a little
(as much as a human donut can that is)...
Brumbies by -12.
Cheetahs v Blues
Goodnight nurse for the Cheetahs. The
Blues demolished the Lions last week, and have another cat to skin this week.
They should have no trouble dispatching the Cheetahs, who are winless after two
rounds. The biggest obstacle for the Blues I reckon is themselves, and
wanting to start the show time 50/50 passes before the hard work is done up
front - the basics. If they start playing Hurricane style rugby - Hurri-ball
- then it could become unstuck. Fingers crossed that filthy Aussie at the
helm will have them well grounded.
The Blues have named an unchanged forward pack
for the third week running, and one change in the backs. Rudi Wulf gets
his chance to win back the wing spot that he held off Joe Rokocoko for last
season. In place of Tuitavake though, not in place of the All Black
Rokocoko.
I expect more of the same from the Blues this
week, I think they have enough old heads up front to know that the work has to
be done first before the Hurri-ball starts. And when it does, it will be
worth being up for!!
Players to watch: All of them!!
Blues on fire at the moment, but close eyes on Stanley as he pushed for All
Black honours, and Kaino, can he put three in a row together on the paddock?
Result, Blues in a canter, 12+
Bulls v Sharks
Another Biltong Biting Boer derby.
Another snooze fest? Probably.
Winner, go with the home side, the Bulls, they
have a few of their big guns back on deck, and will want to pull the Sharks down
from their lofty heights of 2 wins from 2 starts....
Players to watch, ahh, Botha is back for the
Bulls, so keep on eye on that big dirty bastard (and I mean that in the best
possible sense, would love him to be available in All Black colours).
Margin for the Bulls, -12. Hell, there
will probably be under 12 points scored in the match...!!
There you go, week twos picks, bring the games
on!!
|